Did the drop table for panning change recently?

[Michael Gates]

Between three 1.22 worlds I've panned about seventy blocks of sand (various rock types, most recent one was andesite). I've noticed a change; copper spearheads don't drop at all anymore. Didn't see it in the change logs but that might just be me looking in the wrong place. Has anybody else noticed this? Was it an official thing?

[Nathan Flaminio]

We're still getting plenty of them. 

Might be a mod altering something because that seems too many for bad luck. 

[Michael Gates]

Nice to know SOMEBODY still sees them. I play vanilla, so it can't be a mod... grr. I really like those spearheads in the early game!

[MKMoose]

2 hours ago, Michael Gates said:

I've noticed a change; copper spearheads don't drop at all anymore.

It's a 0.4% chance - on average 0.032 copper spearheads per block, or one per 31.25 blocks. Assume 70 blocks, it's 2.24 copper spearheads on average, and an ~10.6% chance for getting none at all. Low but not terribly low as far as chances go.

[Sparticus247]

On 9/7/2026 at 1:37 PM, Michael Gates said:

Nice to know SOMEBODY still sees them. I play vanilla, so it can't be a mod... grr. I really like those spearheads in the early game!

I got 4 yesterday. When it rains it pours! What I really want when panning are gold nuggets and I never seem to get them.

[Phillip Susi]

Yea, low probability + random chance can give pretty long runs of not getting any.  I remember back in the day I played Dark Ages of Camelot and when trying to make master crafted gear you had a 1 in 50 chance on each craft with max skill and people would bitch and moan on the forums all the time about how they spent all their money crafting 100 or 150 items and never got a masterpiece so there "must" be something wrong with the RNG.  Yea... it can happen.  And not all that rarely.  Then sometimes you try 50 and get 2 or 3 masterpieces.  Good luck, but also not that unlikely.